This book of cases will contain 12 cases of approx 24pp each. It is part of a larger case archive of (initally) about 20 cases. 12 cases will be in the book; all 20 will be online. See related project: Cases in Intelligence: Online Case Archive
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Intended for students and professionals in the intelligence community, this collection of 12 cases from around the world stresses that better intelligence requires a higher tolerance for ambiguity. The cases, chosen specifically because there is no immediately correct answer, demonstrate ways to mitigate bias, challenge assumptions, and develop and test multiple hypotheses. Cases demonstrate the use of seven types of structured case analysis tools: decomposition and visualization, idea generation, scenarios and indicators, hypothesis generation and testing, assessment of cause and effect, challenge analysis, and decision support. The techniques described will force intelligence analysts to think about alternatives beyond the obvious, to probe evidence more deeply, and to think systematically about stages of the investigation. The book includes b&w photos, maps, case chronologies, and summary boxes. Instructor lecture slides, exercise solutions, and case conclusions are available from a website. Beebe is retired from the CIA. Pherson is a consultant and trainer in analytic techniques for the intelligence community. Annotation ©2012 Book News, Inc., Portland, OR (booknews.com)
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