The Politics of Miscalculation in the Middle East (Arab and Islamic Studies)

The Politics of Miscalculation in the Middle East (Arab and Islamic Studies)

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BooksHistoryWorld

ISBN: 0253207819 / Publisher: Indiana University Press, September 1993

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Why do international crises seem to occur so often in the Middle East? Former U.S.diplomat Richard B. Parker presents three detailed studies of policy failures that he believes wereprecipitated by miscalculations on the part of diplomats and of government and military leaders inone or more Middle Eastern countries, the United States, and the former USSR. They are theSoviet-Egyptian miscalculation leading to the June 1967 war between Israel and the Arab states,the U.S.-Israeli miscalculation leading to Soviet military intervention in Egypt in 1970, andthe U.S.-Israeli miscalculation leading to the disastrous Lebanese-Israeli peace agreementof May 17, 1983.Parker’s many-sided, often gripping account of the wayin which these crises unfolded illustrates how the same events can be viewed very differently by theobservers and actors involved, and how political decisions can precipitate reactions that are oftenvery different from those anticipated. Although the book highlights the unavoidably uncertain andcontingent element in all diplomatic activity, it also shows that careful attention to history, topast performance, and to prevailing mindsets in the countries involved can be invaluable aids indiplomatic crisis management. The many sources assembled and the careful weighing of their accuracyand reliability, along with the combined perspective of the practitioner and the scholar, make thisbook an important resource for diplomats, policymakers, and students of diplomacy. Read More
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